BTC/USD has been sliding farther away from the price that the stock-to-flow pricing model predicts it should have, with little evidence of a true bullish comeback. The most popular Bitcoin forecaster, stock-to-flow, has traditionally followed BTC price activity with astonishing precision, taking every oddity into consideration to stay legitimate.
Nevertheless, recent actions is challenging stock-to-flow model, and its target price has never really been that far off the mark.
Negative Stock-To-Flow deflection is the highest it’s ever been in the whole #Bitcoin history.
This is a great buying opportunity, if you’re a believer in this model. pic.twitter.com/N3CFLLJdH9
— Lex Moskovski (@mskvsk) July 10, 2021
Stock-to-Flow Multiple (463d)
2021-07-09, 23:59 UTCln(actual / model)
Actual price: $33,914.88
Model price: $82,703.73
S2F multiple: -0.89 pic.twitter.com/AIsBrH6LMF— S2F Multiple (@s2fmultiple) July 10, 2021
BTC/USD should be trading at $82,703 on Saturday, as per the Stock-to-Flow Multiple. The real spot price was $33,850 while writing this article, reflecting a level 59% lower. PlanB, the model’s architect, has maintained an optimistic outlook for Bitcoin in 2021, with his most recent price estimate calling for $135,000 by December as a “worst-case outcome.”
The analyst is now unavailable to comment on current developments, but has promised to get back in August, with a minimum price objective of $47,000. PlanB hasn’t ever dismissed the possibility of stock-to-flow becoming nullified at any time in the future, and this may happen if the most pessimistic predictions come true.
One of them is a $10,000 caution from Scott Minerd, a Guggenheim executive who said last week that there was “no rationale” to acquire Bitcoin at the moment. Other evidence indicates to a prolonged recovery phase for Bitcoin fundamentals, while December might bring fresh selling pressure, as has been the case in the past.